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It's 'Round To It' Time ~
Tuesday, March 17, 2026
CTVA: White House scrambles for fertilizer supplies as Iran war disrupts trade
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More Reading from MarketBeat Media
3 Defense Stocks Under $20 With Massive Upside
Reported by Chris Markoch. Posted: 3/6/2026.
Key Points
- Small-cap defense stocks trading under $20 offer investors exposure to fast-growing areas such as military drones, battlefield connectivity, and next-generation batteries.
- Companies such as Unusual Machines and Inseego provide “picks-and-shovels” technology supporting defense modernization trends.
- SES AI represents a higher-risk play with massive upside potential if its AI-driven battery technology gains traction in drone and defense markets.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
First, the bad news: the best time to get into aerospace and defense stocks was about nine months ago. That timing would have positioned investors for the strong growth that began in the fourth quarter of 2025 and accelerated in early March after the United States and Israel entered a military confrontation with Iran.
Now the good news. There are still opportunities to buy small-cap defense stocks trading for under $20.
The rise of the "Useless Class" (Ad)
Famed historian Yuval Noah Harari recently issued a warning that should send a shiver down the spine of every American. He predicts the emergence of a massive new useless class. These aren't just people who are temporarily unemployed. These are people who have become economically irrelevant. As Luke Lango and I just exposed in our recent interview, we have reached the singularity. For the first time in 250 years, intelligence has been decoupled from labor. During America's first 1776 moment, the steam engine replaced muscle. In this new 1776 moment, AI is replacing the human mind.
This is why you see the Magnificent 7 tech giants adding trillions in value while the real economy feels like it's in a death spiral. The divide is widening. On one side: the useless class who cling to old-world skills. On the other: the new aristocracy who own the assets of the technological republic. Luke and I have identified the three specific money moves our research indicates you must make to ensure you stay on the winning side of this divide.
One year ago, investors could have bought Red Cat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RCAT) for roughly $5.30 a share; it recently closed near $15. A similar story applies to Amprius Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AMPX), which traded around $2.10 a year ago and also recently closed near $15.
Both RCAT and AMPX remain attractive, but they're approaching mid-cap status. Below are three true small-cap defense names that provide picks-and-shovels exposure to the sector.
A Picks-and-Shovels Play on the Military Drone Boom
While Red Cat builds drones and Amprius supplies batteries, Unusual Machines Inc. (NYSE: UMAC) provides the critical components—motors, FPV cameras, and flight controllers—that go into tactical drone platforms used by the U.S. military and enterprise customers.
All of its products are NDAA-compliant, which matters as the government increasingly restricts the use of foreign-made drone parts. For example, Unusual Machines received a $3.75 million purchase order from Performance Drone Works in December 2025 to support the AM-FPV program, demonstrating direct ties to military procurement.
The company posted its first profitable quarter in Q3 2025, with $1.6 million in net income on $2.1 million in revenue and gross margins expanding to 34%. Year-to-date revenue through Q3 was up 55% year-over-year. Unusual Machines reports earnings on March 9, and analysts expect revenue of $3.59 million for the period.
Management is targeting a $30 million annual revenue run rate to reach break-even, and Needham named UMAC a top pick for 2026, projecting 149% revenue growth. The Unusual Machines analyst forecasts on MarketBeat show four analysts rating the stock a Buy, with an average 12-month price target of $20—about 30% upside from recent levels.
5G Connectivity Powering Mission-Critical Communications
Inseego Corp. (NASDAQ: INSG) is the connectivity-infrastructure play in this group. The company makes 5G and 4G mobile broadband solutions—including the MiFi brand—along with rugged industrial routers and cloud management platforms for government agencies, transportation firms, and enterprise customers. Its devices meet strict government supply-chain security requirements and are available on GSA Schedule contracts.
Four of its 5G products carry Verizon Frontline-Verified designation, validating their use in mission-critical communications for law enforcement, fire, and EMS. At Mobile World Congress in February 2026, Inseego launched the MiFi PRO M4 enterprise router with Wi-Fi 7 and standalone 5G, and updated its Inseego Subscribe SaaS platform to automate government procurement workflows. That SaaS addition adds a recurring-revenue component and strengthens the business model.
Q4 2025 revenue came in at $48.4 million, marking the company's third consecutive quarter of sequential growth, with adjusted EBITDA of $6 million and a 12.4% margin. Inseego is moving toward profitability. Four analysts cover INSG with a consensus price target of $16.50, implying roughly 50% upside from the recent close near $11; Craig-Hallum is the most bullish at $20.
High-Risk Battery Technology With Defense Drone Potential
SES AI Corp. (NYSE: SES) is the highest-risk, highest-reward name on this list. Trading near $1.55, it qualifies as a penny stock. SES AI develops AI-enhanced lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles, drones, urban air mobility, and robotics—applications where weight and performance are critical—making it a natural fit for tactical drone platforms.
SES AI is executing a pivot that could make the equity more compelling. In 2025 the company launched its Molecular Universe platform to use AI for accelerating battery materials discovery and reported six breakthrough materials currently being tested by more than 40 customers. It's also converting manufacturing capacity at its South Korea facility from EV to drone form factors and is actively pursuing NDAA compliance. If successful, SES AI could become a direct play on U.S. defense drone procurement.
Revenue more than doubled quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025 following the UZ Energy acquisition, and the company's asset-light model supports a break-even point estimated at $32 million in annual revenue. The SES AI analyst forecasts on MarketBeat show two analysts covering the stock with a consensus price target of $4.00, implying potential upside of more than 250%.
Additional Reading from MarketBeat Media
Berkshire, Broadcom & Nucor Are Reving Their Buyback Engines
Author: Leo Miller. Article Published: 3/16/2026.
Key Points
- Berkshire Hathaway is signaling that its shares are below their intrinsic value as it restarts buyback spending.
- Chips giant Broadcom likely sees something similar in its stock as the firm's buyback activity is picking up big-time.
- Steel giant Nucor has surged over the past 52 weeks and now has large buyback capacity.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
Two stocks with market capitalizations above $1 trillion and North America's largest steel producer just announced meaningful buybacks. All three companies are signaling confidence in their outlooks, with the world's largest financial services stock explicitly indicating it believes investors are undervaluing it.
Berkshire Announces Resumption of Buybacks After Almost Two-Year Hiatus
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) is one of the most renowned investment firms of all time and one of only 12 companies with a market capitalization above $1 trillion. It is also the only financial services firm in that group.
The rise of the "Useless Class" (Ad)
Famed historian Yuval Noah Harari recently issued a warning that should send a shiver down the spine of every American. He predicts the emergence of a massive new useless class. These aren't just people who are temporarily unemployed. These are people who have become economically irrelevant. As Luke Lango and I just exposed in our recent interview, we have reached the singularity. For the first time in 250 years, intelligence has been decoupled from labor. During America's first 1776 moment, the steam engine replaced muscle. In this new 1776 moment, AI is replacing the human mind.
This is why you see the Magnificent 7 tech giants adding trillions in value while the real economy feels like it's in a death spiral. The divide is widening. On one side: the useless class who cling to old-world skills. On the other: the new aristocracy who own the assets of the technological republic. Luke and I have identified the three specific money moves our research indicates you must make to ensure you stay on the winning side of this divide.
Despite Berkshire's historic success, its shares have struggled recently. The stock has fallen after each of the company's past four earnings reports, including a nearly 5% drop following the most recent release.
The company missed estimates significantly, with operating earnings down 30%. The weakness was largely concentrated in Berkshire's insurance operations, where underwriting earnings fell 54%.
Over the past 52 weeks, Berkshire shares have been roughly flat to slightly lower.
Unlike most companies, Berkshire doesn't announce buyback authorizations tied to a specific dollar amount. A 2018 amendment to its buyback policy allows repurchases at any time when management believes shares are "below Berkshire's intrinsic value, conservatively determined."
In a recent SEC filing, the firm said: "We are disclosing that we commenced repurchasing shares of our common stock under this policy on Wednesday, March 4, 2026." The extent of those repurchases is not yet public, but Berkshire had not repurchased stock since mid-2024, so this restart is a clear signal that management sees value in the shares.
AVGO Undertakes Huge Buyback Spending and Reloads Its Chest
Semiconductor behemoth Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), another member of the $1 trillion club, has also ramped up buybacks. Broadcom's results have been strong, driven by demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) solutions.
In its latest quarter, the company beat estimates on both revenue and adjusted EPS, and it issued guidance that exceeded expectations for the next quarter. Broadcom also said it sees a path to generating over $100 billion in AI revenue during its fiscal 2027 year, which roughly lines up with calendar 2027.
For context, that $100 billion forecast would be about 46% more than the $68.3 billion in total revenue the firm generated over the last 12 months. That AI estimate does not include non-AI semiconductor sales or Broadcom's infrastructure software, which together accounted for 56% of revenue last quarter.
Despite these strong results, Broadcom shares are down roughly 20% from their all-time high.
Last quarter Broadcom spent $7.8 billion on buybacks, its second-largest quarterly repurchase total ever, after a period of little repurchasing over the prior two quarters. The company then announced a $10 billion repurchase authorization. While that amount is less than 1% of Broadcom's roughly $1.5+ trillion market capitalization, it is nevertheless a vote of confidence. The program is effective only through the end of 2026, which suggests Broadcom intends to act quickly to take advantage of the weaker share price.
NUE's Buyback Capacity Exceeds 10% as Shares Put Up Impressive Gains
Finally, Nucor (NYSE: NUE), a leading North American steel producer, announced a large buyback. Based on 2024 data, Nucor produced the most steel of any North American company, though Asian firms dominate global production. Nucor stock has performed well over the past 52 weeks, delivering about a 25% total return.
Several factors have helped Nucor. Steel tariffs have reduced imports from foreign competitors, supporting domestic demand. Nucor estimates the foreign share of the U.S. finished steel market fell from near 25% at the start of 2025 to about 14% by November 2025, and it expects that percentage to remain stable or decline further in 2026.
Demand from key end markets—such as infrastructure, data centers, and energy—has also been strong, contributing to what the company calls "historically strong backlogs." Nucor's steel mill backlog rose 40% year over year, and its steel products backlog increased 15%.
Against that backdrop, Nucor announced a $4 billion share buyback program, equal to nearly 11% of its approximately $37 billion market capitalization. That gives the company meaningful capacity to return capital to shareholders over time.
AVGO's Buybacks Signal Undervaluation as AI Demand Explodes
Among these companies, Broadcom's recent surge in buyback activity and its new authorization are particularly notable. The moves suggest management believes the stock price does not reflect the company's results and outlook. For a business at the center of the AI infrastructure buildout, those repurchases are a strong expression of confidence in its prospects.
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