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Friday, July 26, 2024

Wall Street Breakfast: The Five Rings

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The 2024 Paris Olympics are set to kick off today, with the opening ceremony taking place under a backdrop of heavy security. Tens of thousands of officers and soldiers have been deployed for the waterborne opening along the Seine, with a flotilla of boats scheduled to carry athletes representing 206 countries and territories. There have already been some security incidents ahead of the big show, with arson attacks disrupting France's high-speed rail system and many train routes being canceled along the network.

Corporate angle: The Games will offer a big stage for U.S. companies associated with the Olympic Partner Program, like Airbnb (ABNB), Coca-Cola (KO), Intel (INTC), Procter & Gamble (PG) and Visa (V). The last time around, American sponsors shied away from the spotlight during the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022, facing pressure over abuses related to China's minority Uyghur population, along with other human rights issues and authoritarian control. The U.S. government even boycotted the event by barring diplomatic personnel, causing many firms to lie low in their Olympic-themed commercials.

There are big viewership opportunities, with billions of people estimated to tune in globally, creating a "catalyst for sports and sportswear and more awareness across a broad base of categories," according to analysts at Bernstein. For the host country, it can also offer greater visibility for tourism and foreign investment, as well as a chance to get big-ticket infrastructure projects over the line, though more nations have been sitting things out. In fact, the IOC was left with just two bidders (Paris and Los Angeles) for the latest Olympics and ended up awarding slots to both cities in 2024 and 2028.

The economics: The price tag to host the Games has increased in recent years as more sports were added, requiring more new venues and related housing to accommodate athletes. White elephant stadiums have been seen in host cities, while many transportation and development upgrades have also soured, despite pledges to use existing facilities and avoid huge construction costs. "There has never been an Olympic Games that has made a profit," noted Robert Barney, director of the International Center for Olympic Studies at the University of Western Ontario. "Fold in all the costs and revenues, including federal allotments, municipal allotments, provincial or state allotments, it's always been that a debt has to be paid somewhere."

     
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Trending
Former President Donald Trump, who once called bitcoin (BTC-USD) a scam, is set to show his support for the crypto industry this weekend as he headlines the world's largest bitcoin conference. Trump, as well as running mate J.D. Vance, have ramped up promises of lighter crypto regulation, as opposed to the Biden administration's crackdown that has upset the industry. Their campaign has even raised over $4M through crypto donations so far. Crypto sentiment has improved in July, benefiting in part from the "Trump Trade," with bitcoin up another 5% this morning to $67,200. (9 comments)
     
Economy
U.S. GDP rose at an annualized rate of 2.8% in Q2, topping the +2.0% consensus estimate, and accelerating from Q1's 1.4% growth. The new data highlighted a resilient consumer and solid economic growth, while reflecting more business spending in the face of worries. The initial GDP estimate also seemed to suggest that inflation is continuing to subside, but slowly. Investors will get confirmation of that today as the Fed's favorite inflation gauge will provide a better picture of underlying price pressures and trends. (107 comments)
     
Financials

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has reportedly given asset and wealth management staff access to an in-house generative AI product that can do work like one of their own. The ChatGPT-like large language model, called LLM Suite, can help employees with writing, idea generation and summarizing documents. "Think of LLM Suite as a research analyst that can offer information, solutions and advice on a topic," JPMorgan said in an internal memo. CEO Jamie Dimon previously said the bank's AI use may "reduce certain job categories or roles, but it may create others as well." (6 comments)

     
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan -0.5%. Hong Kong +0.1%. China +0.1%. India +1.6%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.7%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +0.3%.
Futures at 7:00, Dow +0.6%. S&P +0.8%. Nasdaq +1%. Crude -0.4% to $77.95. Gold +0.8% to $2,372.90. Bitcoin +4.9% to $67,320.
Ten-year Treasury Yield unchanged at 4.25%.
Today's Economic Calendar
What else is happening...
Barack, Michelle Obama endorse Kamala Harris for president.

Gig economy stocks rise after favorable ruling in California.

Southwest (LUV) ditches open seating model to lift earnings.

OpenAI starts testing AI-powered search; Alphabet (GOOG) slips.

Elon Musk will discuss xAI investment with Tesla (TSLA) board.

Denied: Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) talc bankruptcy appeal.

Lululemon (LULU) downgraded as athleisure falls out of favor.

Hollywood video game workers go on strike over AI concerns.

Kroger's (KR) planned Albertsons (ACI) deal temporarily halted.

Cold-storage REIT Lineage (LINE) debuts in biggest 2024 IPO.
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