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Thursday, September 26, 2024

Wall Street Breakfast: For Profit

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More drama is enveloping generative artificial intelligence firm OpenAI, whose ChatGPT took the world by storm. The startup is looking to restructure and convert itself into a for-profit benefit corporation in a move that would award CEO Sam Altman an equity stake. Under the new possible format, OpenAI's non-profit unit, which currently controls the firm, would take up a minority stake in the larger company, but the latest reports may have resurfaced some tensions.

Backdrop: Since its founding in 2015, OpenAI's mission has been to develop cutting-edge AI technologies that would "benefit humanity as a whole, unconstrained by a need to generate financial return." Only a few years later, the non-profit formed a "capped profit" subsidiary, which eventually helped it attract the billions of dollars in investment that were needed to develop its large language models and other expensive generative AI offerings. Top talent was secured, and it began licensing its technologies commercially, but a schism was growing between Altman and the board that was skeptical of corporate expansion. 

It ultimately led to Altman's ouster a year ago, before he was reinstated within days, following heavy pressure from employees and investors like Microsoft (MSFT). Now, a newly proposed structure would do away with the approvals currently needed from the nine-person nonprofit board, and some could already be expressing their hesitations. Chief Technology Officer Mira Murati has announced her exit, as well as Chief Research Officer Bob McGrew and Vice President of Research Barret Zoph.

Bottom line: With President Greg Brockman on an extended leave, only two of OpenAI's 11 founders remain with the company. The ChatGPT creator is also in the process of raising additional funds that would value the firm at $150B. Questions remain over whether prioritizing revenue could compromise the management of long-term AI risks, or if it's only a matter of time before corporate rivals catch up and by being the leader they can set the tone on responsibility and governance for the emerging industry. (7 comments)
     
Energy
As Hurricane Helene strengthens, it is forecasted to strike Florida's Big Bend coast later tonight, posing a risk to people and state energy infrastructure. Power utilities like FPL (NEE), Tampa Electric, Alabama Power, Georgia Power (SO), Dominion Energy (D) and Duke Energy (DUK) are gearing up to deal with the possible impact the current Category 4 tropical storm will bring on oil, natural gas and electricity infrastructure. On the federal front, President Biden has declared a state of emergency in Florida, fast-tracking federal funds needed to tackle the upcoming calamity.
     
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Product
Meta's (META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg showcased a slew of new augmented reality products and artificial intelligence updates at the Meta Connect 2024 event. The main highlight was the Orion prototype, which Meta claimed to be its "first true holographic augmented reality glasses." Zuckerberg also unveiled a cheaper version of its virtual reality headset called Meta Quest 3s at a price of $299 and new celebrity voices for its AI assistant. AI updates to the Ray-Ban Meta glasses were additionally teased, as well as upcoming partnerships with Spotify (SPOT) and Amazon Music (AMZN) to improve the audio content experience. (18 comments)
     
Consumer
Walt Disney (DIS) has launched a password crackdown on its Disney+ service following in the footsteps of a successful "paid sharing" initiative at rival Netflix (NFLX). Disney's new move aims to draw a revenue stream by combatting those who are "freeloading" on the streaming system by using other paid users' credentials. To give context, when Netflix launched its paid sharing feature, it added more than 20M subscribers to its rolls. As expected, analysts see Disney similarly benefiting from the new streaming rules.
     
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan +2.8%. Hong Kong +4.2%. China +3.6%. India +0.8%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +1.6%. Frankfurt +1.2%.
Futures at 7:00, Dow +0.5%. S&P +0.8%. Nasdaq +1.5%. Crude -1.9% to $68.38. Gold +0.5% to $2,697.50. Bitcoin +1.1% to $64,300.27.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -1 bp to 3.77%.
Today's Economic Calendar
What else is happening...
Vistra (VST) extends rally after topping Nvidia (NVDA) as top gainer.

Micron (MU) surges as guidance tops estimates on AI demand.

Golden Arches: McDonald's (MCD) raises quarterly dividend by 6%.

New home sales dip less than expected in August after July's jump.

UBER to launch WeRide robotaxi in UAE, no plans for U.S., China

Union dispute: U.S. Steel (X) gains after panel rules in its favor.

China-linked Salt Typhoon group hacked into U.S. internet providers.

These stocks should benefit from a Harris or Trump winning scenarios. 

New Starbucks (SBUX) CEO Brian Niccol looks to cool union tension.

U.S. and allies urge 21-day cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah.
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