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Berkshire's $1.4B Bet: DPZ Looks Poised to Expand Market Share
Submitted by Leo Miller. First Published: 2/24/2026.
Key Points
- Berkshire Hathaway is a huge shareholder of Domino’s Pizza; the company’s expanding market share is almost surely a key reason why.
- Domino’s shares got a solid lift after the company’s last earnings report, music to Warren Buffett’s ears.
- Domino’s not only provides a solid dividend, but has been growing its payment briskly for years.
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Although Domino’s Pizza (NASDAQ: DPZ) shares have underperformed in recent years, the company has backing from one of the world’s most prominent investors. Domino's is not a long-time holding of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B), but it isn’t entirely new to the portfolio either. Berkshire first initiated a position in DPZ in Q3 2024, purchasing 1.28 million shares, and has added millions more since.
From Q3 2024 through late February, Domino's shares fell by more than 20%. As of Q4 2025, Berkshire's stake totals over 3.35 million DPZ shares—an increase of more than 150% since the initial purchase. Berkshire now owns just under 10% of Domino’s shares, making it the company’s second-largest shareholder; the position represents roughly 0.5% of Berkshire’s portfolio and is worth almost $1.4 billion.
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Berkshire’s sizable position and its willingness to buy the dips signal strong conviction in Domino's. That makes DPZ a stock worth revisiting after its most recent earnings report.
DPZ Posts Mixed Q4, Shares Gain
Domino’s released a Q4 2025 earnings report that impressed investors, and the stock rose roughly 4% in response.
Revenue for the quarter was $1.54 billion, up just over 6% year over year and above the consensus of $1.52 billion. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose more than 9% to $5.35, narrowly missing the $5.38 estimate.
For 2026, Domino’s expects global retail sales growth of about 6%, a slight acceleration versus global retail sales growth of 5.4% in 2025.
Market Share Leader with Expansion in Sight
Domino’s holds the largest U.S. market share among quick-service pizza chains, with Pizza Hut (a Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM) subsidiary) as its primary rival.
Market share is best measured using retail/system sales—total sales across company-owned and franchised stores—rather than reported revenue, since franchisees operate most locations and the parent company only records a portion of those sales.
In 2024, Domino’s generated U.S. retail sales of $9.5 billion, well ahead of Pizza Hut’s $5.5 billion in system sales. In 2025, Domino’s widened that lead: full-year U.S. retail sales were about $9.95 billion versus Pizza Hut’s roughly $5.11 billion. Domino’s U.S. sales grew 4.7% for the year, while Pizza Hut’s fell 8%.
Meanwhile, Yum! expects to close 250 U.S. Pizza Hut locations in 2026, while Domino's plans to open 175 or more new U.S. stores. That expansion gives Domino’s an opportunity to gain further share. Yum! has also launched a "strategic review" of Pizza Hut, a move that often signals concerns about a brand’s performance and can precede a sale or other major change.
Domino's advantages include scale and a strong national footprint, while the broader pizza market remains fragmented—dominated by local mom-and-pop shops that struggle to compete with national chains on price and efficiency. Those factors make it challenging for smaller entrants to dislodge Domino's in many markets.
Prolific Dividend Grower Trading at a Discount
With Domino’s market position and Yum! showing weakness, Berkshire’s bullish stance carries weight. The stock looks relatively inexpensive on a historical basis: Domino's trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 21.5x, roughly 16% below its three-year average forward P/E of 25.7x.
Domino's also offers income. Alongside the earnings release, the company announced a 15% increase to its quarterly dividend, raising it to $1.99 and producing a dividend yield near 2%—well above the S&P 500’s roughly 1.1% yield.
The company has grown its dividend at an approximate 18% compound annual rate over the past five years, a pace few large-cap U.S. firms can match. Domino's will pay its next dividend on March 30 to shareholders of record as of the close on March 13.
2026 Food Inflation Outlook: This ETF Could Outperform
Submitted by Jordan Chussler. First Published: 2/21/2026.
Key Points
- With a loss of more than 6%, consumer discretionary stocks have performed the worst over the past month.
- But the fast food and quick service restaurant market is expected to grow at a 14.8% CAGR through 2033.
- As dining out is forecast to get nearly 5% more costly in 2026, the EATZ ETF provides a basket of fast food and casual dining restaurants that are poised to take advantage.
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Consumer discretionary stocks haven't fared well in 2026. After finishing with a 6% gain last year—third worst among the S&P 500's 11 sectors—the group has posted a 2.7% year-to-date (YTD) loss, which ranks near the bottom of the index.
Things have looked even bleaker over the past month: the consumer discretionary sector has lost 6.46%, the worst performance in the S&P 500. But help could be on the way later this year from an unlikely source: food inflation.
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Last month, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its Food Price Outlook for 2026. While the cost of some food items is expected to slow, most others are forecast to rise. One notable takeaway is that prices for food away from home (i.e., dining out) are expected to increase nearly 5%.
That's good news for one exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides basket exposure to several fast-food and fast-casual dining chains.
Food Inflation Is Not Going Away
If you thought prices were out of control in 2025, expect more pressure this year. Products like pork and eggs are expected to decline in price, but beef and veal prices are forecast to increase 9.4% in 2026. That inflation will affect dining out more than grocery shoppers.
Food-at-home prices are predicted to rise 1.7%, while food-away-from-home prices are projected to climb about 4.6%. That may dissuade some consumers from dining out, but many restaurant companies still posted top-line growth in 2025 despite falling share prices and shifting consumer sentiment.
Take Chipotle (NYSE: CMG). Despite its battered share price last year, the company has consistently delivered year-over-year (YOY) revenue growth. Chipotle grew revenue 5.41% YOY in the most recent year, even though the stock fell more than 30%. From 2022 to 2024, the company averaged roughly 14.5% YOY revenue growth.
Although inflation remains sticky compared with recent years, it is down considerably from the 41-year highs seen in 2022, when food prices rose 9.9% (BLS). That suggests last year's slowdown in revenue growth for some chains may be a temporary pause rather than a lasting trend.
Consumers may bemoan the loss of dollar menus, but many have accepted—or grudgingly accepted—$12 burgers, $15 burritos and $20 pizzas as the new normal.
According to industry consultancy Grand View Research, the global fast food and quick service restaurant market was estimated at more than $296 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.8% from 2026 through 2033, reaching a forecasted $885 billion.
That outlook favors one ETF in particular.
Order Up Exposure With the EATZ ETF
Since its launch on April 20, 2021, the AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) has offered investors concentrated exposure to the fast-food and quick-service restaurant space. The fund is actively managed and carries an expense ratio of 0.99%, which is partly offset by a modest dividend yield of 0.48% (about $0.13 per share annually).
The ETF's top holdings, by weight, include Nathan's Famous (NASDAQ: NATH), Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS), Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI), Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM), Chipotle, The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE), El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO), Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH), Domino's (NASDAQ: DPZ), DoorDash (NASDAQ: DASH), Wingstop (NASDAQ: WING) and others.
Some of those stocks have struggled over the past year, but in many cases those setbacks look like aberrations rather than permanent shifts. Chipotle, for example, tended to bounce back after years with slower revenue growth: it posted nearly 15% YOY growth in 2019, slowed during the pandemic, then rebounded strongly in subsequent years and exceeded 26% in 2022.
Last year Chipotle recorded record net income. Other companies in the space also posted strong results: Dutch Bros did well, Darden (the owner of Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse) set records, and Texas Roadhouse performed strongly. Domino's—whose earnings weren't reported until Feb. 23—is on pace for record revenue, as are The Cheesecake Factory and DoorDash when they next report.
The fund carries an aggregate Moderate Buy rating, but investors should be aware of risks: it has a notable short interest of nearly 24%, equivalent to roughly 21,600 of the 90,000 shares outstanding, and liquidity is limited—the ETF's average daily trading volume is about 2,240 shares.
For investors who believe in the long-term prospects of the global fast-food and quick-service restaurant market, the AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF can serve as an all-you-can-eat option for portfolio exposure.
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