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Why Amprius Insiders Are Selling—and Why Bulls Aren't Panicking
Written by Thomas Hughes. Published: 1/26/2026.
What You Need to Know
- Amprius Technologies insider selling was executed under a 10b5-1 plan, and insiders still own nearly 13% of the company.
- Institutional interest and analyst sentiment remain supportive, with improving accumulation and a Buy-leaning rating mix.
- NDAA-compliant capacity expansion, strong revenue growth expectations, and easing short interest set up catalysts ahead.
Amprius Technologies (NYSE: AMPX) insiders — primarily CTO Constantin Stefan — have been selling shares. That activity is not necessarily a red flag for investors because the sales were executed under a 10b5-1 trading plan. These prearranged plans allow insiders of public companies to make periodic, scheduled sales of stock, often coinciding with share-based compensation and enabling insiders to realize gains. As of late January 2026, AMPX has risen more than 400% from its 2025 lows, giving insiders clear reasons to lock in profits for diversification or to manage tax liabilities from option exercises.
The important takeaway is that insiders still control nearly 13% of the company, and other indicators — including institutional and analyst trends — suggest the stock is being accumulated despite the insider selling. Institutional ownership remains relatively low, and concerns about cash burn and scalability persist, but trends are improving. InsiderTrades data show institutional ownership creeping higher, with activity picking up at the end of 2025. In Q4, buying outpaced selling by more than $27 bought for every $1 sold, and a bullish bias carried into early 2026.
Buffett's Parting Gift to Berkshire Hathaway? (Ad)
The biggest tech investors have unloaded their top AI investments. Peter Thiel's fund dumped its entire $100 million Nvidia stake. SoftBank unloaded its entire $5.8 billion position. Perhaps the biggest signal is Berkshire Hathaway sitting on $382 billion in cash, more than Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple combined. Was this Warren Buffett's parting gift before stepping down? Four unstoppable market forces could upend the economy in the coming weeks. Any one could be devastating alone, but four at the same time would wreak havoc. The last time this played out was over 50 years ago, leading to a lost decade for stocks.
Watch the interview revealing these four market forces.Seven analysts support the Moderate Buy rating, with a strongly bullish skew — 85% of ratings are Buy, and the lone outlier is a Sell from Weiss Ratings. The consensus group projects more than 40% upside from key support levels, and there is potential for a move toward the high end of the range, possibly as high as $20, within the next few quarters.
Amprius Technologies Strengthens Capacity, Reduces Costs in Late 2025
Amprius has been working to cut costs while scaling operations. In mid-2025 the company paused construction of a domestic manufacturing facility to expand its contract manufacturing network. Partnering with South Korean contract manufacturers supports National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) compliance while allowing capacity expansion in an asset-light way. NDAA compliance is important because Amprius's primary battery markets as of early 2026 remain defense-related, including drones, unmanned vehicles, and man-portable systems.
The upcoming Q4 2025 and subsequent earnings reports are likely catalysts for the stock. The company is expected to report more than 120% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, and analysts have been revising estimates upward: all covering analysts raised their Q4 revenue targets after the Q3 earnings report and signs of accelerating momentum. Longer-term forecasts may still be conservative given the disruptive potential of silicon-anode lithium-ion technology, which supports a continued bullish revision cycle over coming quarters and years.
Short Covering Signals Bottom in the AMPX Market
Short selling played a large role in AMPX's late-2025 correction. Short interest spiked to record highs above 20% late last year. By late January 2026, short interest was retreating from its peak — down about 22% sequentially in early January — which coincided with a market bottom forming as 2025 ended and 2026 began. If short-covering continues and upcoming results are solid, the 2026 rebound should gain momentum and could retest long-term highs near $16 early in the year. If not, the stock may remain range-bound with the risk of a deeper correction.
Currently, AMPX appears to be in rebound mode. The stock is substantially higher from the late-2025 low and has moved above a key resistance level. January price action suggests that resistance is turning into support, positioning the stock to continue its advance. Under that scenario, AMPX could retest its long-term high near $16 before the March earnings report, though it may struggle to set new highs until that report or another catalyst emerges.
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