Dear Fellow Investor,
What does the "Smart Money" know that you don't?
On March 31st, a 90-year-old law is set to pull the rug out from under the global gold market.
While retail investors are sleepwalking in paper ETFs...
Institutions like Bank of America and Jane Street are quietly loading up on a specific "Shadow Miner."
They aren't buying the metal.
It moves 10x faster than the metal.
They're buying the vault.
The logic is simple: When the paper market defaults on March 31st, the price of physical gold won't just rise—it will "teleport."
I've identified the one stock at the epicenter of this $14 Trillion repricing event.
The math suggests a 1,000% surge is on the table as the "Paper Gold" illusion shatters.
See the 13F filings and the evidence here >>>
"The Buck Stops Here,"
Dylan Jovine, CEO & Founder
Behind the Markets
GitLab Sell-Off Overdone: AI and Cash Flow Signal a Rebound
Author: Thomas Hughes. Published: 3/4/2026.
Key Points
- GitLab is well-positioned for the age of AI inference, as it enables superior outcomes at all stages of the software development lifecycle.
- Tepid guidance and a weak analyst response sent shares to long-term lows, where institutions are likely to buy.
- Cash flow is king in 2026, and GitLab has it, as evidenced by its inaugural $400 million share buyback authorization.
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Fears of slowing growth and AI disruption sent GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB) shares to long-term lows earlier in March. The sell-off — overdone to begin with — has pushed the stock to ultra-deep value levels, creating an attractive opportunity.
Although AI-related concerns are weighing on the near-term outlook, the company continues to grow and is well-positioned for the AI inference era. Its platform and newer products embed AI functionality across the software lifecycle, improving efficiency and outcomes while maintaining security, compliance, and governance standards.
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Evidence of its positioning and the strength of its outlook is visible in its cash flow and balance sheet, which supported the authorization of a share buyback. The company is cash-flow positive despite aggressive investment, has a clear path to improvement, and plans to repurchase up to $400 million of shares.
That buyback represents roughly 10% of the post-announcement market cap, further strengthening GitLab's support base. Investors can expect the company to repurchase shares on price pullbacks — such as the early-March decline that pushed the stock to record-low levels.
The balance sheet highlights a strong, strengthening capital position and improving shareholder value. Current assets rose across all categories at year-end, with cash and equivalents well above liability levels. The company has no long-term debt, total liabilities are less than equity, and equity increased by 27% for the year.
Valuation, Institutions, and Analysts Point to GTLB's Robust Upside Potential
GitLab's shares could double from their March lows based on current earnings estimates. Forecasts imply a high-teens to low-20% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through the middle of the next decade, putting the stock near 10x its 2035 consensus. In one scenario, the stock could rise at least 100% to align with broad market averages, or 200% or more to approach established blue-chip tech valuations.
Part of GitLab's value case is reflected in institutional and analyst trends. Institutional investors, including public and private funds, own roughly 95% of the stock and have been accumulating shares.
MarketBeat data show institutions have been net buyers for 13 consecutive quarters, with buying activity accelerating in 2025 and again in early 2026.
That creates a solid support base likely to persist into 2026, serving as a tailwind for the stock once a rebound gains traction.
Analysts reacted cautiously to GitLab's fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report, but the response was relative to a high bar. MarketBeat tracked seven analyst actions within the first 12 hours of the release — one downgrade, five price-target reductions and one affirmation — yet the impact on sentiment trends was limited.
Those actions still reflect a stance stronger than the broader "Moderate Buy" consensus, and the price targets, while at the low end of the range, average just below the consensus, implying roughly 65% upside potential.
GitLab Offers Mixed Guidance After Strong Report
GitLab delivered a solid fiscal 2026 (FY2026) and Q4. The company reported $260.4 million in net revenue, up more than 23.2% year-over-year and 320 basis points above consensus. Strength was driven by enterprise customers: overall revenue from larger customers rose 8%, with "large" and "mega" segments increasing 18% and 26%, respectively. Net retention rate (NRR) was healthy at 118%, and the forward-looking remaining performance obligation (RPO) rose 24% on a current basis and 20% overall, signaling ongoing revenue momentum.
Margin dynamics were mixed but constructive. Gross margin contracted by 200 basis points, but operational improvements helped offset that. Adjusted operating margin improved by 300 basis points, supporting a 42.8% increase in operating income. Increased spending weighed on adjusted EPS and free cash flow year-over-year, but adjusted earnings of $0.30 were $0.07 ahead of forecasts — hardly a reason to sell the stock.
Guidance was somewhat mixed versus consensus: revenue guidance slightly missed expectations, while earnings and margin guidance were stronger. The company expects more than 17% revenue growth this year and wider margins, and management's adjusted EPS guidance implies a margin roughly 250 basis points above consensus. Management also outlined several initiatives to drive growth, including expanding go-to-market reach, accelerating customer acquisition, optimizing pricing and packaging, and executing its AI strategy.
Chaos & Crude: 3 Energy Stocks Built to Thrive in This Market
Authored by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. First Published: 3/5/2026.
Key Points
- Surging insurance costs and rerouted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are embedding a geopolitical premium into every barrel of oil.
- Exxon Mobil and Chevron's global diversification and fortress balance sheets position them to profit from the chaos rather than absorb it.
- Occidental Petroleum's fortified balance sheet and significant backing from a major investor create a uniquely compelling opportunity for investors.
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The daily ticker tape for the energy market can give any investor whiplash. One moment, oil futures surge on fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East; the next, they pull back on the faintest hint of a diplomatic breakthrough. That extreme volatility—where the price of a paper barrel is driven by algorithmic trading and headline sensitivity—creates a confusing picture for anyone trying to make sound investment decisions.
Yet beyond the noise of speculative trading, a different and more telling story is unfolding on the high seas. In the physical world of massive steel-hulled tankers and complex logistics, the market is not volatile; it is constrained. The tangible friction in the global energy supply chain is real, costly, and worsening. For investors who look past daily digital fluctuations, this disconnect between speculation and physical reality reveals a compelling opportunity in a select group of resilient energy companies.
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The radio took 38 years to reach 50 million users, television took 13 years, the internet took four, and ChatGPT hit 100 million users in two months. America is entering a New 1776 Moment, a convergence of economic, technological, and political forces we haven't seen in 250 years, but this time we're compressing the same level of displacement that took half a century during the Industrial Revolution into just a few years. Layoffs have hit recessionary levels with 1.21 million job cuts last year at companies like Salesforce, Microsoft, IBM, Amazon, Intel, and UPS—white-collar jobs, the bedrock of the American middle class, being gutted in real-time. McKinsey says AI can already perform tasks that occupy 44% of U.S. work hours, and as Elon Musk put it, we have entered the Singularity, with a Nobel Prize winner saying this will be 10 times bigger than the Industrial Revolution and maybe 10 times faster.
See the stocks to buy, sell, and three money moves nowThe Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most important energy chokepoint. Approximately 20% of global oil consumption passes through this narrow waterway, making its security fundamental to market stability. With recent geopolitical events, tanker traffic has slowed as shipowners weigh immense risks. That disruption goes far beyond simple delays and carries significant financial ripple effects.
The most powerful evidence of this physical market squeeze comes from the insurance industry. Commercial insurance rates for tankers transiting the region have become so high that the U.S. government has stepped in to offer political risk insurance. That is an unmistakable signal that the logistical costs of moving oil have risen materially. Every vessel that is delayed, rerouted, or forced to pay higher premiums increases the final cost of energy.
This sustained friction creates a geopolitical premium now embedded in the price of every barrel. It establishes a supportive price floor that is detached from the day-to-day news cycle. That environment directly benefits producers with the scale and geographic diversity to navigate the chaos, shifting the advantage to companies that can reliably deliver energy from stable regions and thereby sustaining higher profitability and stronger stock valuations.
How Global Giants Thrive in Chaos
In a market defined by logistical uncertainty, scale is not just an advantage; it is a defensive moat. Integrated supermajors, with their global footprints spanning from the wellhead to the gas pump, are uniquely equipped to thrive.
Exxon Mobil: The Power of a Pristine Balance Sheet
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) operates as a financial fortress in the energy sector. It has the size and strength not only to withstand market turbulence, but to capitalize on it. That strength rests on several key pillars:
- Financial fortitude: With a market capitalization exceeding $620 billion and a very low debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) of about 0.13, the company has the firepower to absorb shocks and fund projects without financial strain.
- Geographic insulation: A significant portion of its production growth comes from assets such as the U.S. Permian Basin and offshore Guyana, which are insulated from conflicts in the Middle East.
- Shareholder reliability: That operational strength translates into investor returns. The company's multi-decade history of dividend increases is a testament to its all-weather reliability.
Chevron: Disciplined Operations, Wall Street Confidence
Chevron (NYSE: CVX) demonstrates similar strength, built on disciplined capital allocation and operational excellence. Its status as a Dividend Aristocrat, with 38 consecutive years of dividend growth, underscores a deep commitment to shareholder value.
While Chevron is managing the temporary shutdown of its Leviathan gas field in the Eastern Mediterranean, that localized issue highlights the benefit of its global diversification; the financial impact is manageable for a company of its scale. This resilience has not gone unnoticed.
Despite regional headwinds, major Wall Street institutions have raised price targets on Chevron stock, signaling strong confidence in the company's ability to navigate the current environment.
Occidental: Why This Producer Is Built Different
While the integrated giants offer stability, some investors may seek more direct exposure to rising crude prices. Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY), as a company focused on exploration and production, provides that exposure.
Its stock, which has gained about 30% this year, often shows greater sensitivity during oil rallies.
Normally, that focused model implies higher risk, but two factors have meaningfully de-risked the investment case for Occidental.
- The strategic reset: The recent sale of its chemical division was a decisive move to strengthen the balance sheet. A healthier balance sheet reduces vulnerability to commodity swings and increases free cash flow available for dividends and buybacks.
- The Buffett backstop: The most compelling factor is the roughly 29% ownership stake held by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A). This is more than a routine institutional holding; it represents a high-conviction bet from one of the world's most respected investors, which provides an added layer of confidence for other shareholders.
Finding Clarity in the Chaos
Headlines will continue to drive volatility in the oil sector, but the underlying fundamentals of the physical market tell a clearer, more stable story. The sustained logistical friction in the world’s most critical energy corridor is not just a temporary issue; it has created a durable tailwind for producers that transcends day-to-day noise.
This environment rewards companies with the scale to manage global complexity, the financial strength to weather uncertainty, and the strategic clarity to execute plans. Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Occidental Petroleum each offer different — yet compelling — ways to gain exposure to this market reality. For investors positioning portfolios for sustained geopolitical uncertainty, the resilience and strategic advantages of these energy leaders merit careful consideration.
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