GLOBAL EQUITIES: Global equities opened the new year mostly higher, driven by renewed enthusiasm for artificial intelligence in China and pro-cyclical leadership from U.S. small- and mid-cap stocks. Major equity benchmarks in Hong Kong, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore all reached new highs. China's Baidu climbed on reports that the company is preparing an IPO of its AI chip unit.
AIRLINES & CARIBBEAN TRAVEL: Hundreds of flights were canceled across Puerto Rico and the Caribbean following U.S. military strikes, stranding thousands of travelers.
SPACEX IPO: Elon Musk's SpaceX is targeting a historic IPO, fueled by record satellite launches and strong investor demand.
TESLA DELIVERIES: Tesla's vehicle deliveries fell for a second consecutive year as rivals including BYD, Kia, Hyundai, and Volkswagen continue to gain market share. Tesla rose ahead of its fourth-quarter delivery report, with analysts expecting deliveries to drop to about 440,000 vehicles, down from roughly 497,000 in both the prior quarter and the year-earlier period.
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY CEO: Warren Buffett gave incoming CEO Greg Abel a "huge endorsement," stating he would trust Abel to manage his fortune and praising his character and leadership abilities. Berkshire Hathaway formally named Greg Abel as CEO, succeeding Buffett.
FEDERAL RESERVE & ECONOMY: The Federal Reserve faces political scrutiny, leadership changes, and AI-driven economic shifts while navigating interest rate policy. Markets are pricing in roughly a 15% chance of a January Fed rate cut. Recent labor data shows unemployment at 4.6%, a four-year high, largely due to increased labor-force participation.
COMMODITIES: Silver extended its strong rally following a standout year for precious metals. Oil prices fell below $57 a barrel after reports that OPEC+ is likely to keep production steady, following crude's steepest annual decline since 2020.
U.S. STOCK MOVEMENTS: The S&P 500 notched 39 new all-time highs and returned 18% including dividends, while many international equity markets posted gains of approximately 30% in 2025. Bernstein raised its Micron price target to $330. Wayfair and RH climbed after the Trump administration delayed a planned furniture tariff increase by one year. Rivian rose after reporting 2025 production and deliveries in line with expectations. Nike gained following news that its CEO purchased shares, while Berkshire Hathaway edged lower to start 2026 after an 11% gain in 2025, Warren Buffett's final year as CEO.
CRYPTOCURRENCY: Bitcoin began the year higher, rising more than 2% toward $90,000, boosting crypto-related stocks broadly.
Airlines Cancel Hundreds of Caribbean Flights After U.S. Strikes on Venezuela
U.S. airlines canceled hundreds of flights to Puerto Rico and other Caribbean destinations on Saturday after the Federal Aviation Administration ordered aircraft to avoid parts of the region's airspace following U.S. military strikes on Venezuela. The disruptions stranded thousands of travelers at the end of the New Year holiday period. President Donald Trump said the strikes resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife.
Tesla Q4 Deliveries Fall 16% as Competition Intensifies
Tesla reported fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries of 418,227, a 16% decline from a year earlier and below Wall Street expectations. The company produced 434,358 vehicles during the quarter, while shares closed down 2.6% following the report. For the full year, Tesla delivered 1.64 million vehicles in 2025, down 8.6% from 2024, marking its second consecutive annual decline. Analysts had expected roughly 426,000 deliveries in the fourth quarter. Nearly all Q4 deliveries—about 97%—came from the Model 3 and Model Y, while higher-end models and the Cybertruck accounted for just 11,642 vehicles. Despite strong early interest, the Cybertruck has yet to become a major volume driver.
Earnings Spotlight: Constellation Brands (STZ)
In its upcoming report on January 7th, Constellation Brands (STZ) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $2.66 per share, reflecting a decline of 18.2% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $2.18 billion, representing a year-over-year decrease of 11.6%.
What's Ahead
The coming week features a dense schedule of economic releases that will provide fresh insight into growth and labor-market trends. Highlights include ISM Manufacturing on Monday; ADP private payrolls, ISM Services, JOLTS job openings, and factory orders on Wednesday; initial jobless claims and productivity and unit labor costs on Thursday; and the employment report, along with preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, on Friday. Also: Canadian and U.S. auto sales for December.
January 5: December ISM Manufacturing PMI.
January 6: No major data or earnings expected.
January 7: December ADP employment change, December ISM Services PMI, November Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and expected earnings from Albertsons (ACI), Constellation Brands (STZ), Jefferies Financial Group (JEF), and Applied Digital (ADLP).
January 8: Challenger job cuts and expected earnings from RPM International (RPM).
January 9: December nonfarm payrolls, December unemployment, October housing starts and building permits, and January preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment.
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